The alliance of Trinomul Congress with Congress was cemented rather easily with the intervention of Sonia Gandhi with INC agreeing to contest 65 seats and TMC 229 including the two seats it awarded to SUCI. The battle lines are now drawn clearly for 1:1 fight.
With this alliance Mamata has entered the final round in an advantageous position and all eyes are now focused on the election campaign before final voting in six phases. The following scenario may be apprehended although there is no scope for thread bare analysis now.
Scenario 1: The alliance clings on to the vote share that they mustered during Parliamentary polls 2009
The INC-TMC alliance gets just short of 2/3 rd seats to form a stable government and LF a formidable opposition with about 105-115 seats.
Scenario 2: LF manages to claw back about 3% votes from the votes it lost in the parliamentary election 2009
The Left Front may form a government again by the strength of a thread getting 150-160 seats in the process.
Senario 3: If the rhetoric of Mamata catches the imagination of people during campaigning
The INC-TMC alliance may further consolidate their position over their previous parliamentary poll and TMC manages to get simple majority on its own.
Out of the three possible scenarios two are in favor of INC-TMC combine and they are definitely at an advantageous position in Bengal Assembly Polls 2011.
With this I am ending the present series of reporting on Bengal Assembly Polls 2011: My writing might not have pleased many but that’s the way political commentary is viewed. I am not supposed to please one and all and these are no
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