Hillary Clinton has managed to survive past February 5, Super Tuesday. However, The Politico explains that there are five major reasons that Senator and Former First Lady Hillary Clinton should be worried by the campaign’s current trajectory. However, longtime friends of Clinton say that she realizes the perils.
Clinton’s staff has recognized that Super Tuesday was no triumph for her. There are five reasons that Super Tuesday cannot be deemed so:
Reason one is that Hillary lost the delegate derby. The race between Hillary and Obama is to win delegates. It probably will not be decided until the Democratic National Convention coming this summer.
It looks as Barack Obama won a bit more delegates in the 22 states. According to the Obama camp, he finished ahead of Clinton by 14 delegates. However, the results are still coming in. Super Tuesday was merely a draw between the two US Democratic hopefuls.
Reason two is that Clinton is tied with Obama in the popular vote. Each have one over 7.3 million votes. Clinton did have a commanding lead by double digits. However, the commanding lead is gone. One attributing reason is that voters seem to like Obama the more they get to know him. This spells out trouble for Clinton since her schedule slows down. It will be a month before the next big-state showdown.
While a month allows for feasible time for candidates to introduce themselves, this plays right into Obama’s advantage as this is his core strength.
Reason three is that she had lost more states. Obama carried six more states than Clinton. Obama carried 14 states and has shown appeal in every geographical region in the Super Tuesday states.
His win in Missouri could be deemed as impressive.
Reason four is that Hillary lost the cash war in January. Obama had raise over $31 million while Hillary had raise under $14 million. Both Democratic activist and donors have been drawn to Obama.
Reason five is that the calendar is not on her side. Obama’s organizational strength has illuminated in the caucus states where he has won seven of eight. Washington, Nebraska, and Maine are the next three caucus states.
Also, Obama runs very well on a large scale in states with large African-American populations. It looks promising for Obama as the next three primaries are in Washington, DC, Maryland, and Virginia. All three states have a large percentage of black voters.