1 April, 2011 (Scooped Item)
Moscow-Col. Muammar Gaddafi could hold power for as long as a few months if at all, but his government is at the end, as described by a senior official of Russia’s foreign policy.
"I agree with the military experts say it can take in this situation can be three to four months," Margelov, chairman of the international affairs committee in the upper house of parliament and government’s special representative for Africa, said in a interview Thursday night.
The defections of top lieutenants, said Margelov, are signs that Gadhafi’s supporters once at the end turn against him, possibly through violence. "Something could happen in the bunker, God forbid," Margelov said, adding that he sees a scenario in which Mr. Qaddafi may survive as leader.
At the same time, Mr. Margelov, a specialist in Arabic about the area, said he hoped to break a country like Libya.
Elsewhere in the region, he said he expects the Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad to cling to power with the promised reforms, despite growing protests. "He made a very wise and just talk about the beginning of reforms," ​​said Margelov Syrian president and the Russian allies hailed as "a strong leader."
Also, he praised the Jordanian authorities’ efforts to keep the situation there under control. "It seems that the king is to keep things under control," he said.
While Moscow has recently criticized the coalition military operations in Libya, Mr Margelov said that Russia does not oppose a UN resolution that would have given them permission. "Russia has not sought dismissal of Resolution 1973," he said.
The Kremlin, which has intensified its diplomatic efforts throughout the region in recent weeks, is eager to play the role of "bridge or broker" to resolve tensions. "Bombing can not solve political problems," he said.
Margelov said that sending a delegation of aid to Libya next week to pave the way for official contacts with the rebels there. "It’s really not clear yet what the camp of the rebels, he said.
He noted that Russia, like the rest of the world, was caught by surprise disasters. "Each of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the spy agency in the world did this," he said.
Margelov expressed concern that instability will strengthen Islamic fundamentalists in the region is far too simplistic. Although these events represent "an opportunity" for the Islamists, "they are unable to take power in one of these countries because they lack the political and organizational structures," he said.
Leave Your Comments