Things may look favorable for Democratic co-frontrunner Senator Hillary Clinton of New York after the “Super Tuesday III” primaries on May 6. After May 6, there are six state contests left. None of them hold caucuses. That would prove to be beneficial for Clinton as Obama’s strength came from the caucuses. In the case of Texas, while Clinton had won the primary, Obama had won the caucus.
However, Clinton has one obstacle before getting to greener terrain, the May 6 primaries in Indiana and North Carolina. In order to get past May 6, Clinton needs to win at least one of those states.
So far, four of the six primaries after May 6 are closed. That would mean that it will play well for Clinton and not so well for Obama. Mainly, Obama has appealed to both Independents and Republicans. However, Clinton has not been as lucky. Mainly, Clinton’s support has come from just the Democratic constituency.
In those four contests, Obama’s support will be nullified and would have to depend on just the Democratic voters. Also, those remaining six states have a low population of African-Americans. That too is a strong constituency for Obama. A good number of voters in the final six states are the elderly, a key group for Clinton.
However, there is still the mathematics of the delegate count for Clinton. Ultimately, it seems to be up to the remaining superdelegates to decide who will become the eventual Democratic nominee.
DNC Chairman Howard Dean said that he expects the remaining superdelegates to decide on who they will stand by at the end of June.
However, despite Hillary’s recent wins, his campaign infrastructure has been reported to be troublesome.